Donald Trump holds a big lead in Alabama and Oklahoma — one that would box out everyone else for delegates in Alabama, according to a new poll.
On the Democratic side of the race, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders split the states, with Clinton holding a big lead in Alabama and Sanders a small one in Oklahoma, according to the Monmouth University survey out Monday.
Both states vote in Tuesday’s big primary day.
Trump leads the Republican field in Alabama with 42% of likely GOP primary voters, topping Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, at 19%, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, at 16%, Ben Carson, at 11%, and Ohio Gov. John Kasich, at 5%.
Alabama’s GOP primary rules require a candidate to reach at least 20% to pick up any proportional delegates, and if a candidate reaches 50%, he automatically gets all the delegates.
In Oklahoma, Trump picks up 35% support, Cruz gets 23%, Rubio gets 22%, Kasich gets 8% and Carson gets 7%. Oklahoma has a 15% threshold for delegates and 50% winner-take-all rule.
In Alabama, only four in 10 likely voters said they were completely decided on their candidate.
On the Democratic side, Clinton leads Sanders 71% to 23% in Alabama among likely Democratic voters. In Oklahoma, Sanders leads Clinton 48% to 43%, buoyed by a much whiter Democratic electorate than in Alabama. Half the likely voters in each state say they are set on their candidate.
Monmouth surveyed 450 likely Republican voters in Alabama, 403 likely Republican voters in Oklahoma, and 300 likely Democratic voters in each state from February 25 to 28 for the poll. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.6 percentage points in the GOP primary in Alabama, 4.9% in Oklahoma and 5.7% on the Democratic side in both states.
