The odds of Texas Sen. Ted Cruz winning the Republican nomination went up 1% on the Political Prediction Market after the fifth and final GOP debate of 2015.
Cruz’s odds of winning the nomination went from 31% to 32%, while Donald Trump’s odds dropped 3 points and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio dropped 2 points.
CNN’s Political Prediction Market, administered by a company called Pivit, is a market game that factors polls and other factors and invites users to predict outcomes of the 2016 election.
Rubio still leads the GOP pack with 34% odds to win the Republican nomination after withstanding repeated attacks during the debate, according to the Political Prediction Market. Trump is at 25% after the debate, after he defended his proposal to ban tavel by non-American Muslims to the United States and to deport all undocumented immigrants.
New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie was the only other candidate to move in the market, dropping 1% from 4% odds at winning the GOP nomination to 3%. None of the other candidates saw movement on the market, including Jeb Bush, despite some strong moments.
CNN also surveyed its followers on Facebook about the debate, where over 1.5 million votes were cast.
After the undercard and prime-time debate, users were asked in the unscientific survey to vote on whether Trump did a good job in defending his position to ban Muslims from entering the United States.
Out of the users polled, 63% said that yes, he did a good job in defending himself, and 37% said no.
During the debate, Trump also pledged his support to the GOP and ruled out an independent bid.
Here are some other results from the suvey of Facebook users:
What is the most effective tool for combatting ISIS?
U.S. Ground Troops
18%
Arab Coalition
69%
Airstrikes
13%
Should the U.S. accept refugees from Syria?
Yes: 31%
No: 69%
What is the greatest national security threat to the U.S.?
ISIS: 73%
North Korea: 2%
Iran: 3%
Other: 22%
