The Senate has confirmed Jay Powell as the next Federal Reserve chair.
Powell, 64, has been a Fed governor for five years and helped shape policy under Janet Yellen, who will leave after a single term as the first woman to lead the world’s most influential central bank. Powell has said his leadership would represent continuity with his predecessors.
Since Powell was nominated by President Trump in November, progressive Democrats like Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts have raised concerns about whether he would be too aggressive in dialing back post-financial crisis reforms.
“Governor Powell played a significant role in implementing crucial reforms under Dodd-Frank,” Senator Sherrod Brown of Ohio, the top Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee, said on the floor ahead of the vote. “We need the Federal Reserve to make sure those rules are applied thoroughly and consistently, so that gaps or failures don’t create larger risks for the financial system.”
Despite those objections, Powell easily won confirmation on Tuesday by a vote of 85-12.
Powell has said he would consider “appropriate ways” to ease rules on banks while preserving core pieces of the 2010 Dodd-Frank regulatory law, including annual stress tests for banks and strong capital requirements.
He has lauded the central bank’s patient approach, led by Yellen, in gradually raising interest rates and slowly unwinding the $4.5 trillion balance sheet that the Fed amassed to support the economy after the crash.
“I think now the economy is strong, unemployment is low, growth is strong — in fact, it appears to have picked up — so it is time for us to be normalizing interest rates and the size of the balance sheet,” Powell told lawmakers during his confirmation hearing in November.
Yellen’s term expires February 3. Powell, a consistent ally of her policies, faces the delicate task of keeping the economy running as he begins his four-year term.
Two immediate challenges facing him are how quickly to raise interest rates and how to continue the safe unwinding of the balance sheet.
In December, policy makers voted to raise the federal funds rate, which helps determine rates for mortgages, credit cards and other borrowing, to a range of 1.25% to 1.5%.
Central bankers also penciled in plans to raise rates three more times in 2018, and then twice in 2019.
Financial markets do not expect Powell to deviate significantly from the Fed’s current policy path.
In deciding to raise rates slowly over the past year or so, the Fed has weighed competing forces. Stubbornly low inflation and consumer prices have suggested the Fed should hold off on raising rates. But steady economic growth and low unemployment suggested it should act.
Yellen has described inflation as something of a “mystery” but has signaled she expects it will stabilize over time.
Another potential wrinkle: The $1.5 trillion tax cut signed by Trump late last year. Its effect could be immediate on the economy, helping encourage businesses to invest and buy more equipment, while putting more money in Americans’ wallets.
But the tax cut could also force the Fed to raise rates faster if it stimulates the economy further.
Powell spent much of his career in investment banking and private equity before joining the Fed.
A Princeton graduate, he was a lawyer in New York before he joined the investment bank Dillon, Read & Co. in 1984. He stayed there until he joined the Treasury Department in 1990, during the George H.W. Bush administration.
After he left Treasury, he became a partner in 1997 at The Carlyle Group, the private equity and asset management giant. He left Carlyle in 2005.
It’s not the first time a former investment banker has taken the helm at the Fed, but Powell would be the first chairman in more than 40 years who is not a formal economist.