By Meghan Evans, Meteorologist for AccuWeather.com
Expert Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski stated, “We have two main pulses with this snowstorm.” The first pulse of locally heavy snow was moving northeastward from the Philadelphia area and into New York City and southern New England during the midday, he said.
He said the morning commute in the Philadelphia area was one of the worst in recent memory for many people caused by the thump of snow.
“Up to half a foot of snow was falling from the first part of the storm alone over areas in southeastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Metropolitan New York,” Sosnowski said.
He said the second part of the storm potentially may be heavier and more disruptive than the first. He said this second pulse of snow will hit many areas as the sun is going down or after dark, when road surface temperatures are cooling.
As a result, more of that snow will stick to more roads in more areas. The snow will also roll eastward into areas that get rain from the first part of the storm, including the Jersey cape and the Delaware beaches.
“A change to rain, wintry mix and even a lull in the Washington/Baltimore to Philadelphia New York City slot during the afternoon Wednesday will have many people think the storm is over or even a bust,” Sosnowski said.
According to him, that lull will allow some of the snow will melt off and road conditions will improve for a time. However, the second batch of heavy snow will roll from southwest to northeast later in the afternoon and evening, he said.
Sosnowski said the lull may pencil out over New England and part of the New York City area. He said much of the swath from Philadelphia to Boston is in store for a six- to 12-inch snowfall. The Washington/Baltimore, D.C. can expect a total of two to six inches from the storm, their biggest snowfall of the season so far.
He said areas just north and west of these cities will get the heaviest amounts, because of slightly lower temperatures and less melting at midday compared to urban effect of the major cities.
It will be during the evening and early overnight hours that the storm will intensify just to the southeast of Cape Cod as the upper-level storm catches up with it, he said.
As this happens, Sosnowski said that snow will fall heavily from northern New Jersey through southeastern New York and southeastern New England.
He said that snowfall rates of one to three inches an hour are possible in heavy snow bands that develop.
He said some portions of the mid-Atlantic and southeastern New England may experience thunder and lightning with the snow. As the storm intensifies tonight, the wind will also increase, contributing to more travel concerns by blowing snow around.
The heavy snowfall rates, gusty winds and falling temperatures behind the storm will make it hard for roadway crews to keep up, he said. Motorists will face dangerous and difficult travel along Interstate 76, Interstate 78, Interstate 80, Interstate 81, Interstate 84, Interstate 87, Interstate 90 and Interstate 95.
Sosnowski said that airline travelers are likely to encounter delays and cancellations into Tuesday with issues including slippery runways, poor visibility and plane deicing. He said that school and activity delays and cancellations are also a possibility.
A windblown snow will continue to lash eastern New England through Tuesday morning, as the storm departs into the Canadian Maritime provinces, he said.
Meanwhile, Soshowski said that due to the compact nature of the storm, parts of the interior Northeast will get little to nothing.
If you have questions or want to speak to a meteorologist, contact Roberti@AccuWeather.com.