Californians likely headed for Democrat vs. Democrat Senate race

It’s not looking like a Republican will be on the California Senate ballot in November.

If early vote returns hold, for the first time, California Republicans voting in the general election this November won’t have a Senate candidate from their party on the ballot.

That’s because the state operates using an open primary — some people call it a “jungle primary” — in which only the top two primary vote-getters make it onto the general election ballot, regardless of party. And on Tuesday, not one Republican made the cut. With 15% of the expected vote counted, two Democratic candidates, state Attorney General Kamala Harris and Rep. Loretta Sanchez, had by far the most votes of the 34 (yes, 34) candidates on the ballot. The nearest Republican, Duf Sundheim, was in third with 10% of the vote, reflecting the strength of California’s leftward shift over the past generation.

California voters adopted the primary rule change in 2010, and this year marks the first time the state has had an open Senate seat in 24 years. California Sen. Barbara Boxer, who has held the seat since 1993, plans to retire at the end of her term. The other sitting senator, Dianne Feinstein, assumed office about two months earlier, and her term is up in 2018.

Harris was in first with 39% of the vote, and Sanchez trailed with 17%. The results set up a rare Democrat vs. Democrat matchup this fall.

The primary results for such a high-profile seat could set up a divisive showdown between Democratic party members. Harris is considered the frontrunner and the establishment candidate, having the support of California Gov. Jerry Brown and a majority of the state party. Sanchez is a long-serving House member from Orange County.

It will also be costly, given California’s size and high-dollar media markets throughout the state. Already, Harris has raised more than $11 million during the primary, while Sanchez raised a respectable $3.5 million. Sundheim, a former state Republican Party chairman, by comparison, raised just more than $600,000 for his primary campaign.

Regardless of who is elected, both Harris and Sanchez will reflect the changing demographics of the U.S. Senate: Harris would be just the second black female in the U.S. Senate. Sanchez, whose parents emigrated from Mexico, would be the first Latina elected to the chamber.

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