Political Prediction Market: Rubio continues to lead, but Cruz rises

As the Iowa caucuses approach, Ted Cruz is receiving renewed attention and has seen his odds of capturing the GOP’s presidential nomination increase in recent weeks on CNN’s Political Prediction market.

Cruz’s odds stand at 19%, just one point shy of Donald Trump, who stands at 20%.

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio continues to lead the GOP pack on Pivit with almost 50%.

CNN’s Political Prediction Market is not a poll asking who a likely voter supports. It is a live, online prediction game administered by a company called Pivit. It considers polls and other factors, including input from online players about who they think will actually win.

Cruz leads the nomination market in one vital contest: Iowa.

Cruz bests all of his competition there, with a 37% chance of capturing the first-in-the-nation caucuses.

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Carson have fallen to 5 and 2% chances of winning the nomination in the market, respectively.

A recent Quinnipiac University poll shows Trump leading in Iowa, with Cruz overtaking Ben Carson for second place.

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